A message from Adam...

Dear colleague,

CCAA cutoff date for the month of Feb. is Jan. 4, 2006. The cutoff date our next group is Jan. 13, 2006. So unfortunately there is no referrals coming this month.

Adam

THAT'S US!!!!!!

How long have we been waiting:
From and including: Friday, January 13, 2006
To and including: Tuesday, March 4, 2008

It is 782 days from the start date to the end date, end date included

Or 2 years, 1 month, 21 days including the end date

Alternative time units
782 days can be converted to one of these units:
67,564,800 seconds
1,126,080 minutes
18,768 hours
111 weeks (rounded down)


I like to look at the prediction sites but only one is updated -

Our prediction for LID 2006-01-13
If China did all future referrals at the exact same speed as they did this month: 2008-04-04

Our best guess - a weighted average of recent CCAA velocities, guessing that CCAA will perform about as well in the future as they are performing now, but might return to previous trends: 2008-04-01

That's our best guess for when you might receive your referral. Just at a guess, we can suppose that the CCAA either speeds up or slows down significantly, and show you those dates. If they speed up: 2008-03-18. And if they slow down: 2008-05-02.

Since China generally sends out referrals in a batch about once per month, your referral date could easily vary +/- one month depending on whether you just get included or just get missed in a particular batch.

I still think May is more likely. My thought is there are 9 more days of log ins ahead of us. If they do 5 each in the next 2 months we are still in for May. They would have to do 4 days each for April and May for us to be out of May and into June.

If I make the chart I made before:

1 day months = 9 months or December - still this year!
2 day months = 5 months or August
3 day months = 4 months or July
4 day months = 3 months or June
5 day months = 2 months or May
6 day months = 2 months
7 day months = 2 months
8 day months = 2 months
9 day months = 1 month or April

See, May is the clear leader. :) I'm okay with that.