Prediction

Our prediction for LID 2006-01-13
Our best guess - a weighted average of recent CCAA velocities, guessing that CCAA will perform about as well in the future as they are performing now, but might return to previous trends: 2007-11-25
That's our best guess for when you might receive your referral. Just at a guess, we can suppose that the CCAA either speeds up or slows down significantly, and show you those dates. If they speed up: 2007-10-11. And if they slow down: 2008-08-06.
Since China generally sends out referrals in a batch about once per month, your referral date could easily vary +/- one month depending on whether you just get included or just get missed in a particular batch.
(There is some discussion of the math behind these estimates on another page.)

(I previously posted this site here http://our-enchanted-world.blogspot.com/2007/06/new-site.html where it was estimated that we would get our referral on 2007-11-06 If they speed up: 2007-09-25. And if they slow down: 2008-08-25.

Not much different and actually we would probably receive a referral in December if that were the case since referrals usually come out earlier in the month.)

If you click on the entry title (Prediction) it will take you directly to the site so you can see for yourself.